Prediction markets favor Democrats to flip House and Senate one week before 2026 midterms
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With the 2026 U.S. midterm election a week away, Kalshi traders price a 63% chance Democrats win the House and Senate, roughly stable since early October. Republicans have just under a 10% chance to hold both chambers; a 29% scenario gives Democrats the House while the GOP keeps the Senate. Contracts settle on official congressional results, not poll-style methods.
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