EU climate service expects 2026 to top 1.5°C again and likely rank second-warmest after 2024
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The European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service said Friday that 2026 will almost certainly average more than 1.5°C—and about 2.7°F—above pre-industrial levels, so it would be the second calendar year after 2024 to sit above the Paris Agreement’s annual yardstick; long-term breach is not settled by one hot year alone. Copernicus judges 2026 most likely the second-warmest year on record behind 2024, gives a 20% chance it could exceed 2024, and also expects the four-year mean for 2023–2026 to clear 1.5°C.
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