A Cluster 17 poll for POLITICO on 15–16 September puts Marine Le Pen at 30–31% as favorite for the 2027 presidential runoff. If Edouard Philippe runs alone, he ties Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 19% for second place and Raphaël Glucksmann gets 12%; if Philippe steps aside for Gabriel Attal, Mélenchon reache